Quota Forecast Calculator

Turn pipeline into a confident quota forecast. Compare scenarios using win rates and timing. Download clean summaries for weekly reviews.

Inputs

Build your quota forecast

Enter quota and pipeline, then press Submit.
How to use
Total target for the forecast period.
Used for timing adjustment.
Revenue already booked in-period.
Known renewals or signed deals pending recognition.
Used to estimate pipeline needed.
Long cycles reduce in-period conversion.
1.00 = normal; 1.10 = strong months.
Adjust for rep ramp, PTO, coverage.
Results appear above this form after submit.

Pipeline stages

Stage name Amount Probability (%) Action
Keep probabilities realistic. If you also track forecast categories, map them to probabilities consistently.
Example data table

Sample pipeline snapshot

Use this as a reference format for your CRM export.

Opportunity Stage Amount Probability Expected Owner
Acme RenewalNegotiation35,00080%28,000AM Team
Northwind ExpansionProposal50,00045%22,500R. Khan
Contoso New LogoDiscovery70,00020%14,000S. Ali
Globex UpsellQualification25,00030%7,500N. Noor
Formula used

How the forecast is calculated

These equations match common revenue operations practice.
  • Probability-weighted pipeline: Σ(Stage Amount × Stage Probability)
  • Timing factor: if AvgCycleDays > PeriodDays, then max(0.20, PeriodDays / AvgCycleDays); otherwise 1.00
  • Adjusted expected pipeline: WeightedPipeline × Seasonality × Capacity × TimingFactor
  • Forecast total: ClosedWon + Carryover + AdjustedExpectedPipeline
  • Attainment: ForecastTotal / Quota
  • Pipeline needed to hit quota: (Quota − (ClosedWon + Carryover)) / AvgWinRate
  • Coverage ratio: GrossPipeline / RemainingQuota
  • Risk score: weighted by lower attainment and lower coverage (0–100).
How to use this calculator

Steps for accurate quota forecasting

  1. Enter your quota and the forecast period in months.
  2. Add closed-won revenue and any committed carryover.
  3. Set your average win rate using historical performance.
  4. Use average cycle days to reflect conversion timing.
  5. Adjust seasonality and capacity for realistic throughput.
  6. List pipeline stages with amounts and probabilities.
  7. Press Submit to see results above the form.
  8. Download CSV or PDF to share in pipeline reviews.
Professional notes

Forecast inputs that mirror CRM fields

Quota forecasting works best when inputs match CRM definitions. Set quota to your fiscal target and months to the review window. Closed‑won should include only booked revenue in‑period, while carryover should reflect signed or committed revenue awaiting recognition. Calculate average win rate from recent quarters of similar deals, segmented when needed. Use cycle days as the median time from creation to close to avoid outlier distortion. Reconcile amounts against your CRM currency and reporting rules monthly.

Stage weighting and expected revenue

Pipeline becomes actionable when weighted by stage probability. Enter each stage’s total open amount and the probability used in your pipeline rules. The calculator multiplies amount by probability to estimate expected revenue per stage and then totals it. If your CRM uses forecast categories, map them to stable probabilities, for example 15% for early discovery, 50% for proposal, and 80% for late negotiation, tuned to historical conversion.

Timing, seasonality, and capacity adjustments

Weighted pipeline can overstate near‑term attainment when cycle times exceed the window. The timing factor reduces expected revenue when average cycle days are longer than the period. Seasonality captures demand patterns such as budget flush months or holiday slowdowns; use 1.00 as neutral and adjust modestly. Capacity reflects ramp, territory coverage, and planned PTO. Together, these adjustments translate pipeline into a forecast that reflects constraints. Document the chosen factors so stakeholders understand changes week to week.

Interpreting coverage and risk

Coverage compares gross pipeline to remaining quota after closed‑won and carryover. Many teams aim for 2.0× to 3.0× coverage, but the right level depends on win rate and deal variability. The risk score summarizes two drivers: expected attainment and coverage strength. Use it to frame forecast conversations, then validate stage mix, close dates, and next steps. Risk usually improves by generating earlier pipeline, not by discounting late.

Operational cadence and export workflows

Refresh inputs weekly from your pipeline snapshot and keep probabilities consistent. Monitor attainment and coverage trends to spot slippage early. Use CSV exports for spreadsheets and PDF exports for leadership summaries. Pair this calculator with hygiene checks: stalled stages, missing next steps, and close dates outside the window. Strong data quality raises the reliability of every forecast you share. Add notes on assumptions in the review deck.

FAQs

What does the forecast total represent?

It is the sum of closed‑won, carryover, and adjusted expected pipeline. Adjusted expected pipeline applies probability weighting plus timing, seasonality, and capacity factors to estimate in‑period revenue.

How should I choose stage probabilities?

Use historical conversion by stage from your CRM. Keep probabilities stable for at least a quarter, then recalibrate after process changes. Avoid inflating probabilities to “make the number.”

Why does timing reduce my expected pipeline?

If average cycle days exceed your forecast window, fewer deals realistically close in time. The timing factor dampens expected revenue to reflect longer conversion timelines.

What is a good coverage ratio?

Many teams target 2.0×–3.0× coverage on remaining quota, but the right range depends on win rate and deal-size variance. Compare coverage against your past attainment outcomes.

Can I forecast for multiple reps or teams?

Yes. Run separate scenarios by changing capacity and pipeline inputs, or combine pipelines into one view. For rollups, keep win rate and probabilities consistent across contributors.

How do I use the exports in reviews?

Use the CSV to paste totals into spreadsheets and trend trackers. Use the PDF for consistent snapshots in weekly forecast calls, especially when sharing outside the sales org.

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Important Note: All the Calculators listed in this site are for educational purpose only and we do not guarentee the accuracy of results. Please do consult with other sources as well.