Tariff spread and dispatch window
A typical residential TOU spread ranges from 0.10 to 0.30 per kWh. If off‑peak is 0.10 and peak is 0.30, the gross spread is 0.20. Seasonal spreads can vary widely. Savings grow only when time windows allow full dispatch. With 6 off‑peak hours at 5 kW charge power, the charge window can accept up to 30 kWh, but usable capacity may cap it. With 4 peak hours at 5 kW discharge power, the peak window can deliver up to 20 kWh.
Efficiency and usable energy limits
Usable energy equals capacity times usable depth. With a 20 kWh battery at 90% usable depth, usable energy is 18 kWh per cycle. At 88% round‑trip efficiency, 18 kWh charged returns about 15.84 kWh at peak. If the peak window caps discharge, delivered kWh drops and the model reduces the implied charge.
Degradation and operating expenses
Degradation can be modeled as a cost per kWh discharged. At 0.03 per kWh and 15.84 kWh out, degradation is 0.48 per cycle. Add fees as a percent of off‑peak energy cost; a 3% fee on a 1.80 charge adds 0.05. Fixed O&M matters too: a 10 monthly service fee reduces annual benefit by 120.
Demand charge stacking and peak shaving
Commercial tariffs may include demand charges like 12 per kW‑month. Shaving 3 kW during the billing peak adds 36 per month, independent of kWh. This stacks with arbitrage and can dominate when energy spreads are modest. Reliable peak clipping often improves results more than adding extra cycles.
Financial metrics and decision thresholds
Simple ROI equals annual net benefit divided by capex, while payback equals capex divided by annual net benefit. NPV discounts future cashflows and applies capacity fade, such as 2% per year. A break‑even rule is: Peak_Rate should exceed (OffPeak_Rate ÷ Efficiency) plus Degradation_Cost plus Fees_per_kWh. Positive NPV indicates the project beats the discount rate.