Garden Runoff Risk Calculator

Plan smarter watering with a simple runoff score. See how soil and slope change losses. Reduce erosion, keep nutrients, and protect your garden year-round.

White theme NRCS and coefficient methods CSV and PDF exports
Calculator Inputs
Fill the form and press Calculate.

Choose depth-focused runoff method for gardens.
Bed, lawn section, or drainage area size.
Use event depth for the time window you care about.
Used to estimate intensity in coefficient method.
Approx: rise ÷ run × 100.
Pick based on infiltration and texture.
Cover influences infiltration and surface roughness.
Compaction and density affect runoff.
Wet soil runs off sooner than dry soil.
Paths, patios, roofs, plastic sheets, etc.
After calculating, results appear below the header and above this form.
Example Data Table

Use these sample scenarios to understand typical inputs and outputs.

Scenario Area (m²) Rain (mm) Slope (%) Soil Cover Impervious (%) Expected risk
Mulched beds on gentle slope 30 20 3 B Mulched beds 5 Low to Moderate
Garden beds after heavy watering 60 35 6 C Garden beds 10 Moderate to High
Bare soil on steeper patch 40 25 12 D Bare soil 0 High to Very High
Path runoff draining to beds 80 30 4 B Gravel path 35 High

Real outcomes vary with soil structure, mulch depth, and storm intensity.

Formula Used
Two approaches are available to suit different garden inputs.
Curve Number method

Runoff depth is computed from event depth and a curve number.

  • S = (1000/CN − 10) inches
  • Ia = 0.2 × S
  • If P ≤ Ia → Q = 0
  • Else Q = (P − Ia)² / (P + 0.8S)

This tool converts mm↔inches internally.

Coefficient method

Runoff depth approximates as a fraction of event depth.

  • Runoff depth: Q ≈ C × P
  • Intensity: i = P / (duration in hours)
  • Peak flow: Qₚ = 0.00278 × C × i × A(ha)

Useful for comparing changes in slope and surface cover.

Runoff volume: Liters = runoff depth (mm) × area (m²).

How to Use This Calculator
  1. Estimate your drainage area in square meters.
  2. Enter rainfall or irrigation depth for the event window.
  3. Select slope, soil group, cover type, and condition.
  4. Choose moisture based on recent rain or watering.
  5. Press Calculate to view results above the form.
  6. Use CSV or PDF export to save the outcome.

For best results, measure slope and confirm soil group using a local guide.

Rain depth and intensity inputs

Event depth is the total water applied in the chosen window. Intensity matters: 30 mm in 60 minutes equals 30 mm/hr, and short bursts often overwhelm compacted soil first. If you irrigate, try two cycles with a soak period; spreading the same depth across time can reduce surface flow and improve root-zone storage. For storms, use measured gauge totals when available.

Soil group and infiltration behavior

Soil groups A through D reflect infiltration potential, from fast to very slow. Sandy, well-structured soil can absorb higher rates, while clayey or compacted areas may pond quickly. If uncertain, start with Group B and compare C. Choose Wet moisture after rain within 48 hours for conservative results. Adding organic matter and reducing traffic typically improves infiltration over weeks to months.

Cover, compaction, and curve selection

Cover type and condition adjust runoff potential in both methods. Mulch and dense vegetation protect aggregates, slow overland flow, and create macropores. Bare soil and compacted paths increase sealing and runoff. A practical field target is 50–80 mm mulch in exposed beds, plus consistent groundcover on edges and walkways. “Good” condition implies low crusting and limited compaction.

Slope and connected hard surfaces

Slope increases flow speed and reduces infiltration time. Around 2% is gentle, 5–10% is moderate, and above 10% often needs contour beds or terraces. Impervious areas matter most when connected; even 20% hard surface draining to one outlet can dominate runoff. Break long slopes with small berms so water slows and infiltrates. Disconnect downspouts and spread flow into infiltration zones.

Interpreting outputs for garden protection

The calculator reports runoff depth (mm), volume (L), runoff share, and a 0–100 risk score. Remember: 1 mm over 50 m² equals 50 liters. If runoff share exceeds 40% or risk is High, prioritize mulch, buffers, and split watering. Moderate scores still merit inspections after storms for rills and sediment. This reduces nutrient losses from beds. Save CSV/PDF results, then rerun after improvements to compare scenarios.

FAQs

Q1: Which method should I use for a home garden?

A: Use the Curve Number method to estimate runoff depth from a single event. Use the Coefficient method when you also want a quick peak flow estimate and are comparing intensity across different durations.

Q2: What if I do not know my soil group?

A: Start with Group B for loamy soils, then compare results for A and C to see sensitivity. If your soil puddles, stays wet, or is heavily compacted, Group C or D may be closer.

Q3: How does “Antecedent moisture” change results?

A: Wet conditions increase runoff because pores are already filled. Dry conditions reduce runoff because more storage is available. Choose “Wet” after several rainy days or heavy irrigation within 24–48 hours.

Q4: How accurate is the runoff volume in liters?

A: Volume is derived from depth and area using 1 mm over 1 m² = 1 liter. Accuracy depends on input realism and site complexity. Use it as a planning estimate, not a measured discharge value.

Q5: Why can small hard areas raise risk so much?

A: Hard surfaces shed water quickly and often concentrate flow to one point. When connected to a downslope bed, that concentrated runoff can exceed infiltration and cause rills, splash erosion, and nutrient transport.

Q6: What is a practical target to lower risk?

A: Aim to keep runoff share below 20–30% for routine storms by improving cover, loosening compaction, and spreading inflow. For higher slopes, add terraces or swales so water slows and infiltrates.

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Important Note: All the Calculators listed in this site are for educational purpose only and we do not guarentee the accuracy of results. Please do consult with other sources as well.