| Scenario | Before (kWh) | Reduction | Shift | Rates ($/kWh) | Fees ($/mo) | Annual savings | Payback |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 7,200 | 3% | 10% | 0.20 / 0.15 | 3.00 | $95 | 1.3 yrs |
| Balanced | 9,000 | 6% | 20% | 0.22 / 0.14 | 3.50 | $215 | 0.4 yrs |
| Aggressive | 12,000 | 10% | 35% | 0.25 / 0.12 | 4.00 | $520 | 0.2 yrs |
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Annual cost before:
Before = kWh_before × flat_rate -
Annual usage after reduction:
kWh_after = kWh_before × (1 − reduction%) -
Split usage by time:
OffPeak = kWh_after × shift%andOnPeak = kWh_after − OffPeak -
Annual cost after:
After = (OnPeak × onpeak_rate) + (OffPeak × offpeak_rate) + fees -
Annual savings:
Savings = Before − After -
Simple payback:
Payback = net_upfront_cost ÷ annual_savings(when savings > 0) -
Net present value:
Discount each year’s savings using
(1 + r)^yearand sum with the upfront cost.
- Enter your last 12 months electricity usage in kWh.
- Set your old flat rate from your bill (all-in price).
- Estimate behavior reduction from better visibility and alerts.
- If you plan load shifting, enter a realistic shift percentage.
- Add time-based on-peak/off-peak rates from your utility plan.
- Include service fees, installation cost, and any rebates.
- Press Calculate Savings to view results and downloads.
Measured awareness and reduction ranges
Across residential programs, visibility and alerts often on average reduce consumption by 2% to 12%. A household using 9,000 kWh yearly at $0.18/kWh spends about $1,620. A 6% reduction lowers energy use to 8,460 kWh, saving roughly $97 before any time-based shifting or fees. Results vary by occupancy, appliance mix, and how consistently you respond to high-use notifications.
Time-based shifting and rate spread
Savings rise when on-peak prices exceed off-peak prices by 25% to 70%. If 20% of remaining load moves off-peak, 1,692 kWh shifts in the example above. With $0.22 on-peak and $0.14 off-peak, each shifted kWh saves $0.08, adding about $135 yearly. Shifting works best for EV charging, laundry, water heating, and pre-cooling.
Fees, installation, and rebates
Many plans add $2 to $6 per month for metering or data services, equal to $24 to $72 per year. Upfront costs range from $0 to $250 depending on who owns the device. Rebates commonly fall between $0 and $150. The calculator nets rebates against installation so you can see how recurring fees can erode savings when behavior change is small.
Payback and break-even checkpoints
Simple payback is net upfront cost divided by annual savings. For a $80 net cost, $200 savings implies 0.40 years. Break-even savings for a $4 monthly fee is $48 yearly; any savings below that produces a negative net benefit. Use the year-by-year table to confirm that cumulative savings turn positive within your preferred horizon.
NPV and discount rate sensitivity
NPV discounts future savings to today’s dollars. At 6%, $200 received next year is worth about $189 today, and the value declines each year. Longer analysis periods amplify the impact of assumptions: steady annual savings favors higher NPV, while higher discount rates and short horizons reduce it. Compare NPV across scenarios to prioritize the most resilient savings plan.
1) What should I enter for behavior reduction?
Start with 3% to 6% if you will only monitor bills. Use 8% to 12% if you plan regular changes, like thermostat schedules, standby cutoffs, and proactive alerts.
2) When does shifting to off-peak matter most?
Shifting matters when the on-peak and off-peak rates differ significantly. Larger spreads and flexible loads, such as EV charging or water heating, create the biggest added savings.
3) Why can annual savings be negative?
Savings can turn negative if fees are high, reduction is small, or on-peak usage remains large under a time-based plan. Adjust reduction, shifting, and rates to match your reality.
4) Does the calculator include demand charges?
No. It focuses on energy charges per kWh plus a monthly fee. If your tariff includes demand charges, treat this as a partial estimate and consider adding demand impacts separately.
5) How do rebates affect payback?
Rebates reduce the net upfront cost, lowering payback time. If rebates cover most of installation, even modest annual savings can produce a fast break-even and a stronger NPV.
6) What analysis period should I use?
Use 5 to 10 years for household planning. If you expect to move sooner, shorten it. If the device stays with the property and savings are stable, a longer period is reasonable.