Fantasy Projection Calculator

Calculator Inputs

Use custom scoring, advanced matchup modifiers, and risk controls to simulate weekly or slate-based fantasy outcomes.

Player Name

Team

Scoring Preset

Projected Games

Salary

Average Minutes

Projected Minutes

Points per Game

Rebounds per Game

Assists per Game

Steals per Game

Blocks per Game

Turnovers per Game

Made Threes per Game

Double-Double Probability %

Triple-Double Probability %

Usage Change %

Pace Multiplier %

Matchup Multiplier %

Consistency Bonus %

Injury Risk %

Blowout Risk %

Volatility %

Advanced note:

Pace and matchup above 100 boost the projection. Risk percentages reduce the final output.

Custom Scoring Weights

Point Weight

Rebound Weight

Assist Weight

Steal Weight

Block Weight

Turnover Weight

Made Three Weight

Double-Double Bonus

Triple-Double Bonus

Example Data Table

These sample rows show how pace, matchup, and risk can reshape raw averages into more useful fantasy projections.

Player	Games	Base FPPG	Pace %	Matchup %	Risk %	Adjusted FPPG
Marcus Lane	4	39.60	103	106	8	43.87
Derrick Hale	3	34.25	99	101	14	31.48
Julian Cross	2	28.90	105	110	18	31.21

Formula Used

The calculator combines custom scoring with role and matchup adjustments rather than relying only on box-score averages.

Base FPPG = (Points x point weight) + (Rebounds x rebound weight) + (Assists x assist weight) + (Steals x steal weight) + (Blocks x block weight) + (Turnovers x turnover weight) + (Made threes x three weight) + expected bonus points.
Expected bonus points = (Double-double probability x double-double bonus) + (Triple-double probability x triple-double bonus).
Adjusted FPPG = Base FPPG x Minutes Factor x Usage Factor x Pace Factor x Matchup Factor x Consistency Factor x Availability Factor x Blowout Factor.
Minutes Factor = Projected minutes / average minutes.
Usage Factor = 1 + usage change percentage / 100.
Availability Factor = 1 - injury risk percentage / 100.
Floor = Adjusted FPPG x (1 - volatility percentage).
Ceiling = Adjusted FPPG x (1 + volatility percentage x 1.35).
Value per 1k salary = Adjusted FPPG / (salary / 1000).

How to Use This Calculator

Enter the player, team, projected games, salary, and minute expectations.
Fill in the player’s per-game stats from recent or season-long performance.
Choose a scoring preset or keep custom weights for your preferred league style.
Adjust usage, pace, matchup, consistency, injury risk, and blowout risk.
Press Calculate Projection to place the result below the header and above the form.
Review adjusted FPPG, total projection, floor, ceiling, and salary value score.
Use the CSV or PDF button after calculation to export the current result.

FAQs

1. What does this calculator project?

It projects fantasy points per game and total points across the selected number of games. It also estimates floor, ceiling, salary value, and risk-adjusted availability.

2. Can I use custom league scoring?

Yes. Every major scoring component is editable, including points, rebounds, assists, steals, blocks, turnovers, made threes, and achievement bonuses.

3. Why do projected minutes matter so much?

Minutes drive opportunity. The calculator scales the base fantasy output by comparing projected minutes against the player’s normal average workload.

4. What do pace and matchup multipliers represent?

Pace estimates possession volume, while matchup reflects opponent difficulty. Values above 100 increase projection, and values below 100 reduce it.

5. How is risk handled here?

Injury risk and blowout risk reduce the final projection. Volatility controls the spread between the floor and ceiling estimates.

6. Is this better for daily or season fantasy?

It works for both. Daily players may focus on salary value and matchup, while season players may prioritize weekly totals and availability-adjusted games.

7. What does value per 1k salary mean?

It shows how many projected fantasy points a player returns for each 1,000 units of salary. Higher values generally indicate stronger cap efficiency.

8. Should I trust one projection alone?

No. Use this tool as a structured estimate, then compare news, rotations, opponent injuries, and late lineup changes before locking decisions.