Calculator Inputs
The page stays in a single stacked flow, while the form fields use a responsive 3-column, 2-column, and 1-column arrangement.
Example Data Table
Use this sample table to understand how stronger matchup, volume, and health inputs can move the recommendation.
| Player | Projected | Baseline | Recent Avg | Opp Rank | Opportunity % | Health | Start Score | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Lane | 18.6 | 11.2 | 17.9 | 27 | 74 | Healthy | 76.80 | Strong Start |
| Devin Cross | 13.4 | 11.8 | 12.6 | 15 | 58 | Minor issue | 58.45 | Borderline Start / Flex |
| Noah Price | 10.1 | 11.0 | 8.9 | 5 | 42 | Questionable | 39.92 | Sit |
Formula Used
The analyzer blends projected output, recent form, opportunity, matchup, risk, and context into a 0 to 100 start score.
Projection Edge = clamp(50 + ((Projected - Baseline) / Baseline) × 50)
Recent Form = clamp(50 + ((Recent Avg - Season Avg) / Season Avg) × 50)
Opportunity = (Opportunity Share × 0.40) + (Snap Share × 0.35) + (Red Zone Role × 0.25)
Matchup = ((Opponent Rank - 1) / 31) × 100
Team Total Score = clamp((Implied Total / 35) × 100)Spread Score = clamp(50 - (Spread × 4))Environment = (Team Total Score × 0.70) + (Spread Score × 0.30)
Floor Safety = clamp((Floor / Projected) × 100)Consistency = 100 - VolatilityUpside = clamp(50 + ((Ceiling - Baseline) / Baseline) × 25)
Start Score = (Projection Edge × 0.20) + (Recent Form × 0.10) + (Opportunity × 0.16) + (Matchup × 0.14) + (Environment × 0.10) + (Health × 0.08) + (Weather × 0.04) + (Floor Safety × 0.08) + (Consistency × 0.06) + (Upside × 0.04)
Confidence = (Floor Safety × 0.35) + (Health × 0.25) + (Weather × 0.15) + (Consistency × 0.25)
How to Use This Calculator
- Enter the player name, sport, scoring format, and week or slate label.
- Add your player projection, season average, recent average, floor, and ceiling values.
- Fill in usage metrics such as snap share, opportunity share, and red zone role.
- Add the matchup inputs, including opponent rank, implied total, and point spread.
- Choose current injury and weather conditions, then set a volatility percentage.
- Press Analyze Start / Sit to see the result above the form, review factor scores, inspect the chart, and export the report.
FAQs
1. What does the Start Score represent?
It summarizes matchup, projection, role, health, and risk into one score from 0 to 100. Higher values support a stronger start recommendation for that specific week.
2. Why do I need a baseline points value?
The baseline acts like your fallback option. It helps the analyzer measure whether the player offers a real edge over a likely bench, flex, or waiver replacement.
3. How should I enter opponent rank?
Use 32 for the easiest matchup and 1 for the toughest. This keeps the scoring direction consistent so better matchups increase the final recommendation.
4. Does the tool work for multiple sports?
Yes. The core logic is sport-agnostic. Just make sure your point projection, usage, and baseline inputs already reflect the scoring style of that sport.
5. What is the difference between Start Score and Confidence Score?
Start Score measures overall startability. Confidence Score focuses more on stability by weighting floor, health, weather, and consistency more heavily.
6. How should I estimate volatility?
Use a higher value for boom-bust players with wide weekly swings. Use a lower value for reliable players with steady snap counts and predictable opportunity.
7. Can I use this instead of rankings?
It works best alongside rankings. Rankings provide market context, while this analyzer helps you test a specific lineup choice using your own assumptions and projections.
8. When should I trust a Borderline Start result?
Use it when roster depth is limited, upside matters, or your alternatives project similarly. Check the risk flags before starting a borderline option in must-win matchups.